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0.27]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 1371, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "上海浦东民生路1199弄证大五道口广场1号楼12层", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 33400000, "bbox": [[0.095, 0.278, 0.541, 0.29]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 8, "global_sentence_id": 1372, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "邮编：", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 33400000, "bbox": [[0.095, 0.299, 0.141, 0.31]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 9, "global_sentence_id": 1373, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "200135", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 33400000, "bbox": [[0.141, 0.299, 0.21, 0.309]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 9, "global_sentence_id": 1374, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "北京", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 33400000, "bbox": [[0.094, 0.34, 0.133, 0.352]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 10, "global_sentence_id": 1375, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "北京西城区金融大街兴盛街6号国信证券9层", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 33400000, "bbox": [[0.095, 0.36, 0.483, 0.373]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 11, "global_sentence_id": 1376, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "邮编：", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 33400000, "bbox": [[0.095, 0.381, 0.141, 0.393]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 12, "global_sentence_id": 1377, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "100032", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 33400000, "bbox": [[0.141, 0.381, 0.21, 0.392]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 12, "global_sentence_id": 1378, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}], "type": "PDF"}
# 公用环保2025年3月投资策略                                           优于大市国家能源局印发2025年能源工作指导意见，中国核电、浙能电力增资参股中国聚变能源有限公司
## 核心观点
### 市场回顾：
### 重要事件：
### 专题研究：
### 投资策略：
#### 公用事业：
##### 1．煤价电价同步下行，火电盈利有望维持合理水平，推荐全国大型火电企业华电国际、国电电力以及区域电价较为坚挺的上海电力；
##### 2．国家持续出台政策支持新能源发展，新能源发电盈利有望逐步趋于稳健，推荐全国性新能源发电龙头企业龙源电力、三峡能源以及以及区域优质海上风电企业广西能源、福能股份、中闽能源；
##### 3．装机和发电量增长对冲电价下行压力，预计核电公司盈利仍将维持稳定，推荐核电运营标的中国核电、中国广核；国家电投整合核电资产，打造A股第三家核电运营商，推荐重组标的电投产融；
##### 4．全球降息背景下高分红的水电股防御属性凸显，推荐业绩稳健性和成长性兼具的水电龙头长江电力；
##### 5．燃气推荐具有区位优势，量价张力较强的城市燃气龙头华润燃气，以及具有海气贸易能力，特气业务锚定商业航天的九丰能源。
#### 环保：
### 风险提示：
### 重点公司盈利预测及投资评级
## 一、专题研究与核心观点
### （一）异动点评
### （二）重要政策及事件
#### （1）国家能源局印发2025年能源工作指导意见
##### 《意见》指出，统筹推进新型电力系统建设。
##### 持续完善能源体制机制。
##### 深化全国统一电力市场建设。
#### （2）中国核电、浙能电力增资参股中国聚变能源有限公司
### （三）专题研究：2024Q4公用环保板块基金重仓情况梳理
### （四）核心观点：碳中和背景下，推荐新能源产业链＋综合能源管理
#### 公用事业：
##### 1．煤价电价同步下行，火电盈利有望维持合理水平，推荐全国大型火电企业华电国际、国电电力以及区域电价较为坚挺的上海电力；
##### 2．国家持续出台政策支持新能源发展，新能源发电盈利有望逐步趋于稳健，推荐全国性新能源发电龙头企业龙源电力、三峡能源以及以及区域优质海上风电企业广西能源、福能股份、中闽能源；
##### 3．装机和发电量增长对冲电价下行压力，预计核电公司盈利仍将维持稳定，推荐核电运营标的中国核电、中国广核；国家电投整合核电资产，打造A股第三家核电运营商，推荐重组标的电投产融；
##### 4．全球降息背景下高分红的水电股防御属性凸显，推荐业绩稳健性和成长性兼具的水电龙头长江电力；
##### 5．燃气推荐具有区位优势，量价张力较强的城市燃气龙头华润燃气，以及具有海气贸易能力，特气业务锚定商业航天的九丰能源。
#### 环保：
## 二、板块表现
### （一）板块表现
### （二）本周个股表现
#### 1、环保行业
#### 2、电力行业
#### 3、水务行业
#### 4、燃气行业
## 三、行业重点数据一览
### （一）电力行业
#### 1．发电量
#### 2．用电量
#### 3．电力交易
#### 4．发电设备
#### 5．发电企业电源工程投资
### （二）碳交易市场
#### 1．国内碳市场行情
#### 2．国际碳市场行情
### （三）煤炭价格
### （四）天然气行业
## 四、行业动态与公司公告
### （一）行业动态
#### 1、电力
##### （1）国家能源局印发2025年能源工作指导意见
###### 《意见》指出，统筹推进新型电力系统建设。
###### 持续完善能源体制机制。
###### 深化全国统一电力市场建设。
##### （2）六部门印发《关于推动海洋能规模化利用的指导意见》
##### （3）广西能源集团桂北片区500MW风电项目获核准
##### （4）四川能源发展集团揭牌成立
##### （5）国家能源局：2025年1月新增建档立卡新能源发电项目30657个
#### 2、环保
##### （1）日本大饭核电站放射性气体泄漏
##### （2）生态环境部启动修订《环境空气质量标准》
### （二）公司公告
#### 1、电力
##### 【中国核电-对外投资】：拟以增资方式参股中国聚变能源有限公司，投资金额为10亿元。
##### 【浙能电力-对外投资】：拟以增资方式参股中国聚变能源有限公司，投资金额为7.5亿元。
##### 【华能水电-市值管理】：公司市值管理措施包括并购重组、股权激励、员工持股计划、现金分红、投资者关系管理、信息披露、股份回购等。
##### 【国投电力-定增发行】向全国社会保障基金理事会发行5.5亿股，实际募集资金69.98亿元，发行价格12.72元／股，限售期三年，社保基金会持股比例为6.88％。
##### 【中绿电-对外投资】：投资设立中绿电（榆林）新能源发电有限公司负责鲁能榆阳区10万千瓦风电项目。
##### 【川投能源-对外投资】：投资四川时代60MW/120MWh工商业用户侧储能项目，项目概算总投资1.15亿元。
##### 【长青集团-战略合作】：
##### 【南网能源-孙公司破产】孙公司阳山南电生物质发电、广西南能昌菱清洁能源申请破产。
##### 【川能动力-股东变更】：因控股股东能投集团与川投集团实施新设合并设立四川能源发展集团，公司控股股东将变更为四川能源发展集团，直接及间接持股比例合计39.46%，实控人仍为四川省国资委。
##### 【乐山电力-定增上市】：以简易程序向9名对象发行0.4亿股募集2.0亿元，发行价格5.01元／股，限售期6个月。
#### 2、燃气
#### 3、环保
##### 【美埃科技-业绩预告】：预计24年营收17.2亿元，同比＋14.5%；归母净利润1.9亿元，同比＋9.4％。
##### 【洪城环境-高管减持】董事长等四人计划在3个月内减持合计不超过0.03％。
##### 【赛恩斯-业绩预告】：预计24年营收9.28亿元（+14.75%)，归母净利润1.91亿元（+111.71%)，主要系报告期内收购联营企业投资收益增加以及长期稳定且利润较高的产品销售与运营服务业务增长显著所致。
##### 【三达膜-业绩预告】预计24年营收14.18亿元（-2.27%)，归母净利润3.12亿元（+22.94%)，主要是由于对联营企业的投资收益增长以及政府回购伊通满族自治县污水处理厂所产生的资产处置收益所致。
##### 【丛麟科技-业绩预告】：预计24年营收5.95亿元（-6.22%)，归母净利润0.93亿元（+5.35%）。
##### 【路德环境-业绩预告】：
##### 【恒誉环保-业绩预告】：预计24年营收1.5亿元，同比-5.5%，归母净利润0.2亿元，同比-5.5％。
##### 【德林海-业绩预告】：预计24年营收4.5亿元，同比＋44.5%，归母净利润-0.8亿元。
##### 【中科环保-业绩预告】：预计24年营收16.6亿元，同比＋18.4%，归母净利润3.2亿元，同比＋18.9％。
##### 【金达莱-业绩预告】：预计24年营收4.1亿元，同比-19.3%；归母净利润1.4亿元，同比-24.4％。
##### 【东望时代-增资子公司】：拟与复创信息共同对东望数智增资，公司增资0.2亿元，增资后持股比例仍为51％。
##### 【复洁环保-业绩预告】：预计24年营收1.88亿元，同比-67.42%，归母净利润-0.50亿元，同比-149.85％。
##### 【高能环境-项目中标】：
##### 【力源科技-业绩预告】：预计24年营业收入3.74亿元，同比＋46.58%，归母净
##### 【青达环保-业绩预告】：预计24年营业收入13.14亿元，同比＋27.70%，归母净利润0.94亿元，同比＋8.61％。
##### 【金科环境-业绩预告】：预计24年营业收入6.37亿元，同比＋11.29%，归母净利润0.71亿元，同比＋0.73％。
##### 【维尔利-估值提升计划】：拟采取经营提升、并购重组、股份回购、股权激励和员工持股计划、现金分红、投资者关系管理和信息披露等方式提升公司估值。公司2023年经审计BPS为4.57元。
##### 【兴蓉环境-业绩预告】：预计24年营业收入90.49亿元，同比＋11.90%，归母净利润19.96亿元，同比＋8.28％。
##### 【重庆水务-募投项目】：使用募集资金向昆明渝润水务增资11.47亿元并借款7.48亿元实施募投项目“收购昆明滇投污水处理资产”。
##### 【久吾高科-激励授予】：2月21日将预留部分限制性股票2万股以调整后的授予价格11.58元／股授予1名激励对象。
##### 【力源科技-募投项目延期】：募投项目水处理系统集成中心及PTFE膜生产项目、研发中心建设项目预计延期至2027年2月达到可使用状态。
## 五、板块上市公司定增进展
## 六、本周大宗交易情况
## 七、风险提示
## 八、公司盈利预测
