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"language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 2900000, "bbox": [[0.466, 0.479, 0.926, 0.49], [0.229, 0.5, 0.652, 0.511]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 5, "global_sentence_id": 753, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "其次，分月用电增速与季度经济活动密切相关。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 2900000, "bbox": [[0.652, 0.5, 0.927, 0.511], [0.23, 0.521, 0.327, 0.533]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 5, "global_sentence_id": 754, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "2024年我国分季度GDP同比增速分别为5.3％、4.7％、4.6%,5.4%，其中前三个季度GDP增速环比持续下降，经济增长减缓同样影响用电增速，导致用电量出现“前高后低”。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 2900000, "bbox": [[0.327, 0.521, 0.924, 0.533], [0.23, 0.543, 0.926, 0.553], [0.238, 0.565, 0.334, 0.575]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 5, "global_sentence_id": 755, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "2．细分板块：", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3000000, "bbox": [[0.234, 0.595, 0.342, 0.605]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "title2", "web_segment_id": 6, "global_sentence_id": 756, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "高技术制造与消费成主要拉动因素，高耗能用电增速波动影响较大", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3000000, "bbox": [[0.342, 0.595, 0.866, 0.605]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "title2", "web_segment_id": 6, "global_sentence_id": 757, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "分板块来看，二产与三产又可以拆分出高技术装备制造板块（包含汽车制造业，计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业，医药制造业，金属制品业，通用设备制造业，专用设备制造业，电气机械和器材制造业，仪器仪表制造业，铁路、船舶、航空航天和其他运输设备制造业）、六大高耗能产业板块（包括黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业，有色金属冶炼及压延加工业，化学原料及化学制品制造业，非金属矿物制品业，石油、煤炭及其他燃料加工业，电力、热力的生产和供应业）与消费板块（包含交通运输、仓储、邮政业，信息传输、软件和信息技术服务业，批发和零售业，住宿和餐饮业，金融业，房地产业）。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3100000, "bbox": [[0.23, 0.626, 0.917, 0.636], [0.229, 0.647, 0.925, 0.658], [0.231, 0.669, 0.926, 0.679], [0.229, 0.689, 0.924, 0.7], [0.231, 0.713, 0.916, 0.721], [0.231, 0.732, 0.927, 0.744], [0.229, 0.754, 0.83, 0.765]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 758, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "整体来看，2024年高技术装备制造、高耗能与消费板块用电占比分别为11.40%,39.73％和11.92%，用电量同比增速分别为10.31％、4.02％与10.90％。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3100000, "bbox": [[0.83, 0.754, 0.916, 0.765], [0.228, 0.776, 0.935, 0.786], [0.23, 0.797, 0.636, 0.807]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 759, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "综合来看，二产三产中，高技术制造与消费板块用电增速均为两位数，远高于全社会用电平均增速，成为二三产中主要拉动用电需求增长的因素。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3100000, "bbox": [[0.636, 0.797, 0.927, 0.807], [0.23, 0.818, 0.925, 0.829], [0.231, 0.84, 0.38, 0.85]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 760, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "但分月来看，高技术装备制造和消费板块分月用电增速分别能维持在7％与6％以上，但高耗能板块分月用电增速下滑幅度较大，上半年7％以上的增速在下半年出现逐月下滑至最低0.96%(11月）。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3100000, "bbox": [[0.38, 0.84, 0.925, 0.85], [0.229, 0.862, 0.928, 0.872], [0.229, 0.882, 0.552, 0.893]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 761, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "作为占比接近四成的用电板块，下半年增速较低的高耗能板块拖累整体用电增速。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3100000, "bbox": [[0.552, 0.882, 0.928, 0.893], [0.23, 0.903, 0.488, 0.914]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 762, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "再细分到具体行业，六大高耗能行业中黑色金属冶炼加", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3100000, "bbox": [[0.488, 0.903, 0.925, 0.913]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 763, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "footer", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3200000, "bbox": [[0.51, 0.928, 0.928, 0.939]]}]}, "tags": ["footer"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 8, "global_sentence_id": 764, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "header", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3200000, "bbox": [[0.062, 0.015, 0.723, 0.051]]}]}, "tags": ["header"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 1, "global_sentence_id": 765, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "header", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3200000, "bbox": [[0.734, 0.014, 0.974, 0.052]]}]}, "tags": ["header"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 2, "global_sentence_id": 766, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "工业和非金属矿物制品业分别实现全年用电-0.98％和-2.33％的负增长，成为拖累高耗能行业用电的主要门类，其主要产品品类分别对应钢铁与水泥。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3200000, "bbox": [[0.231, 0.072, 0.927, 0.083], [0.232, 0.093, 0.683, 0.104]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 3, "global_sentence_id": 767, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "据国家统计局，2024年我国粗钢产量同比下滑 1.7%，水泥产量同比下滑9.5％。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3200000, "bbox": [[0.683, 0.093, 0.927, 0.103], [0.23, 0.114, 0.621, 0.125]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 3, "global_sentence_id": 768, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "因此，高耗能用电增速波动对整体用电需求增长影响较大。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3200000, "bbox": [[0.621, 0.114, 0.926, 0.125], [0.229, 0.135, 0.379, 0.147]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 3, "global_sentence_id": 769, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "3．展望2025：", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3300000, "bbox": [[0.233, 0.167, 0.35, 0.177]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "title2", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 770, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "高新技术产业扩能影响可期，高耗能产业复苏或成关键", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3300000, "bbox": [[0.35, 0.167, 0.786, 0.178]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "title2", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 771, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "展望2025年，作为“十四五”规划收官之年，我们认为更加积极有为的宏观政策有望在年内持续落地，带动人工智能、电动汽车、半导体芯片、新能源产业链等高新技术产业持续扩张，进而实现用电用能的快速增长。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3400000, "bbox": [[0.229, 0.197, 0.927, 0.208], [0.231, 0.218, 0.926, 0.229], [0.229, 0.239, 0.528, 0.251]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 5, "global_sentence_id": 772, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "同时，用电需求中占比较高的高耗能行业同样亟待政策刺激与扶持，其产能降幅收窄与企稳对整体用电需求将会带来较强支撑。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3400000, "bbox": [[0.528, 0.239, 0.927, 0.251], [0.229, 0.261, 0.819, 0.273]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 5, "global_sentence_id": 773, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "footer", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3500000, "bbox": [[0.511, 0.928, 0.928, 0.939]]}]}, "tags": ["footer"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 6, "global_sentence_id": 774, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "header", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3500000, "bbox": [[0.062, 0.014, 0.757, 0.053]]}]}, "tags": ["header"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 1, "global_sentence_id": 775, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "header", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3500000, "bbox": [[0.734, 0.014, 0.974, 0.052]]}]}, "tags": ["header"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 2, "global_sentence_id": 776, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "月度板块及重点上市公司股价表现", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3600000, "bbox": [[0.231, 0.068, 0.606, 0.085]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "title1", "web_segment_id": 3, "global_sentence_id": 777, "edu_l1_label": "BOS"}, {"txt": "1月电力及公用事业板块下跌5.2%，表现劣于大盘；", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3700000, "bbox": [[0.23, 0.103, 0.635, 0.113]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 778, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "1月沪深300下跌3.0％到3817.1；", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3700000, "bbox": [[0.635, 0.103, 0.916, 0.112]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 779, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "涨幅前三的行业分别是有色金属（4.5%）、机械设备（1.0%）、汽车（0.8%）。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3700000, "bbox": [[0.23, 0.121, 0.783, 0.132]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 780, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "图1：各行业板块表现（%，截止至1月27日）", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3800000, "bbox": [[0.079, 0.164, 0.402, 0.175]]}]}, "tags": ["figure_caption"], "label": "figure_title", "web_segment_id": 5, "global_sentence_id": 781, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "figure", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 3900000, "bbox": [[0.085, 0.176, 0.99, 0.38]]}]}, "tags": ["figure"], "label": "figure", "web_segment_id": 6, "global_sentence_id": 782, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "资料来源：", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 4000000, "bbox": [[0.081, 0.374, 0.143, 0.383]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "figure_title", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 783, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "IFind同花顺，信达证券研发中心", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 4000000, "bbox": [[0.143, 0.374, 0.342, 0.382]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "figure_title", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 784, 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{"txt": "（2）广西2025年政府授权合约价：", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 25600000, "bbox": [[0.236, 0.069, 0.513, 0.081]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "title2", "web_segment_id": 3, "global_sentence_id": 1155, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "绿电0.375、常规0.36元／度、核电超7000小时0.3元／度：", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 25600000, "bbox": [[0.513, 0.069, 0.928, 0.08], [0.229, 0.089, 0.275, 0.099]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "title2", "web_segment_id": 3, "global_sentence_id": 1156, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "12月24日，广西壮族自治区能源局发布了《广西壮族自治区能源局关于2025年广西电力市场政府授权合约机制有关事项的通知》，新能源发电政府授权合约价格分为绿电政府授权合约价格和常规电能量政府授权合约价格，按年确定。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 25700000, "bbox": [[0.23, 0.118, 0.925, 0.128], [0.231, 0.137, 0.927, 0.147], [0.23, 0.155, 0.642, 0.166]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 1157, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "其中，绿电合约价格为375元／兆瓦时，常规合约价格为360元／兆瓦时，红沙核电1、2号机组合约价格7000小时内按上网电价执行，7000小时以上按300元／兆瓦时执行。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 25700000, "bbox": [[0.642, 0.155, 0.926, 0.166], [0.23, 0.174, 0.925, 0.185], [0.23, 0.193, 0.598, 0.204]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 1158, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "（资料来源：", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 25700000, "bbox": [[0.598, 0.193, 0.687, 0.204]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 1159, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "光伏们、北极星光伏网、广西能源局）", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 25700000, "bbox": [[0.687, 0.193, 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"position_id": 26100000, "bbox": [[0.231, 0.452, 0.927, 0.463], [0.231, 0.471, 0.469, 0.483]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 8, "global_sentence_id": 1169, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "在当前新能源装机持续快速增长，相关能源政策依然重点强调安全保供的态势下，煤电顶峰价值有望持续凸显。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 26100000, "bbox": [[0.469, 0.471, 0.925, 0.482], [0.231, 0.49, 0.657, 0.502]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 8, "global_sentence_id": 1170, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "展望未来，双碳目标下的新型电力系统建设，或将持续依赖系统调节手段的丰富和投入；", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 26100000, "bbox": [[0.657, 0.49, 0.925, 0.501], [0.232, 0.51, 0.647, 0.52]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 8, "global_sentence_id": 1171, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "容量电价机制正式出台明确煤电基石地位，电力现货市场和辅助服务市场机制有望持续推广，因而在电力市场化改革的持续推进下，电价有望实现稳中上涨。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 26100000, "bbox": [[0.647, 0.51, 0.927, 0.52], [0.231, 0.529, 0.926, 0.539], [0.229, 0.547, 0.49, 0.558]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 8, "global_sentence_id": 1172, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "此外，伴随着发改委加大电煤长协保供力度，电煤长协实际履约率有望边际上升，我们判断煤电企业的成本端较为可控；", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 26100000, "bbox": [[0.49, 0.547, 0.926, 0.558], [0.231, 0.566, 0.738, 0.577]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "content", "web_segment_id": 8, "global_sentence_id": 1173, "edu_l1_label": "IOS"}, {"txt": "同时煤电一体化企业依靠自有煤炭或高比例煤炭长协兑现的优势，有望在稳利润同时实现业绩增长。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 26100000, "bbox": [[0.738, 0.566, 0.926, 0.577], [0.23, 0.585, 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{"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.733, 0.014, 0.973, 0.051]]}]}, "tags": ["header"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 2, "global_sentence_id": 1222, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "分析师声明", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.071, 0.065, 0.163, 0.078]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 3, "global_sentence_id": 1223, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "负责本报告全部或部分内容的每一位分析师在此申明，本人具有证券投资咨询执业资格，并在中国证券业协会注册登记为证券分析师，以勤勉的职业态度，独立、客观地出具本报告；", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.073, 0.091, 0.916, 0.1], [0.072, 0.109, 0.402, 0.118]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 1224, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本报告所表述的所有观点准确反映了分析师本人的研究观点；", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.402, 0.109, 0.811, 0.119]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 1225, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本人薪酬的任何组成部分不曾与，不与，也将不会与本报告中的具体分析意见或观点直接或间接相关。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.811, 0.109, 0.922, 0.118], [0.071, 0.128, 0.637, 0.138]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 4, "global_sentence_id": 1226, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "免责声明", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.071, 0.146, 0.144, 0.159]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 5, "global_sentence_id": 1227, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "信达证券股份有限公司（以下简称“信达证券”）具有中国证监会批复的证券投资咨询业务资格。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.072, 0.177, 0.699, 0.186]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 6, "global_sentence_id": 1228, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本报告由信达证券制作并发布。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.699, 0.177, 0.911, 0.186]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 6, "global_sentence_id": 1229, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本报告是针对与信达证券签署服务协议的签约客户的专属研究产品，为该类客户进行投资决策时提供辅助和参考，双方对权利与义务均有严格约定。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.072, 0.204, 0.914, 0.213], [0.073, 0.219, 0.2, 0.226]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 1230, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本报告仅提供给上述特定客户，并不面向公众发布。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.2, 0.219, 0.547, 0.227]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 1231, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "信达证券不会因接收人收到本报告而视其为本公司的当然客户。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.547, 0.219, 0.914, 0.226], [0.072, 0.233, 0.123, 0.242]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 1232, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "客户应当认识到有关本报告的电话、短信、邮件提示仅为研究观点的简要沟通，对本报告的参考使用须以本报告的完整版本为准。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.123, 0.233, 0.915, 0.241], [0.072, 0.247, 0.139, 0.256]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 7, "global_sentence_id": 1233, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本报告是基于信达证券认为可靠的已公开信息编制，但信达证券不保证所载信息的准确性和完整性。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.072, 0.27, 0.728, 0.279]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 8, "global_sentence_id": 1234, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本报告所载的意见、评估及预测仅为本报告最初出具日的观点和判断，本报告所指的证券或投资标的的价格、价值及投资收入可能会出现不同程度的波动，涉及证券或投资标的的历史表现不应作为日后表现的保证。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.728, 0.27, 0.915, 0.279], [0.074, 0.286, 0.91, 0.294], [0.072, 0.299, 0.46, 0.308]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 8, "global_sentence_id": 1235, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "在不同时期，或因使用不同假设和标准，采用不同观点和分析方法，致使信达证券发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告，对此信达证券可不发出特别通知。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.46, 0.299, 0.91, 0.308], [0.071, 0.313, 0.757, 0.322]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 8, "global_sentence_id": 1236, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "在任何情况下，本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议，也没有考虑到客户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需求。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.072, 0.337, 0.915, 0.346], [0.072, 0.352, 0.11, 0.36]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 9, "global_sentence_id": 1237, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况，若有必要应寻求专家意见。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.11, 0.352, 0.697, 0.36]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 9, "global_sentence_id": 1238, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本报告所载的资料、工具、意见及推测仅供参考，并非作为或被视为出售或购买证券或其他投资标的的邀请或向人做出邀请。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.697, 0.352, 0.915, 0.36], [0.071, 0.365, 0.683, 0.375]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 9, "global_sentence_id": 1239, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "在法律允许的情况下，信达证券或其关联机构可能会持有报告中涉及的公司所发行的证券并进行交易，并可能会为这些公司正在提供或争取提供投资银行业务服务。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.072, 0.389, 0.915, 0.398], [0.072, 0.403, 0.304, 0.413]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 10, "global_sentence_id": 1240, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本报告版权仅为信达证券所有。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.072, 0.427, 0.279, 0.436]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 11, "global_sentence_id": 1241, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "未经信达证券书面同意，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制、发布、转发或引用本报告的任何部分。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.279, 0.427, 0.915, 0.436], [0.073, 0.442, 0.155, 0.451]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 11, "global_sentence_id": 1242, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "若信达证券以外的机构向其客户发放本报告，则由该机构独自为此发送行为负责，信达证券对此等行为不承担任何责任。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.155, 0.442, 0.914, 0.45], [0.073, 0.455, 0.111, 0.465]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 11, "global_sentence_id": 1243, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本报告同时不构成信达证券向发送本报告的机构之客户提供的投资建议。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.111, 0.455, 0.591, 0.465]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 11, "global_sentence_id": 1244, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "如未经信达证券授权，私自转载或者转发本报告，所引起的一切后果及法律责任由私自转载或转发者承担。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.071, 0.482, 0.774, 0.49]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 12, "global_sentence_id": 1245, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "信达证券将保留随时追究其法律责任的权利。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.774, 0.482, 0.914, 0.491], [0.072, 0.502, 0.229, 0.511]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 12, "global_sentence_id": 1246, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "评级说明", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.068, 0.53, 0.149, 0.542]]}]}, "tags": ["table_caption"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 13, "global_sentence_id": 1247, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "table", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.07, 0.549, 0.917, 0.678]]}]}, "tags": ["table"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 14, "global_sentence_id": 1248, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "风险提示", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.071, 0.711, 0.144, 0.724]]}]}, "tags": ["title"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 15, "global_sentence_id": 1249, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "证券市场是一个风险无时不在的市场。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.072, 0.74, 0.324, 0.748]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 16, "global_sentence_id": 1250, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "投资者在进行证券交易时存在赢利的可能，也存在亏损的风险。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.324, 0.74, 0.748, 0.748]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 16, "global_sentence_id": 1251, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "建议投资者应当充分深入地了解证券市场蕴含的各项风险并谨慎行事。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.748, 0.74, 0.914, 0.748], [0.073, 0.755, 0.364, 0.763]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 16, "global_sentence_id": 1252, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "本报告中所述证券不一定能在所有的国家和地区向所有类型的投资者销售，投资者应当对本报告中的信息和意见进行独立评估，并应同时考量各自的投资目的、财务状况和特定需求，必要时就法律、商业、财务、税收等方面咨询专业顾问的意见。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.072, 0.78, 0.911, 0.792], [0.072, 0.8, 0.849, 0.809]]}]}, "tags": ["text"], "label": "O", "web_segment_id": 17, "global_sentence_id": 1253, "edu_l1_label": "EDU_O"}, {"txt": "在任何情况下，信达证券不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损失负任何责任，投资者需自行承担风险。", "language": "chinese", "position": {"pdf_position": [{"page_number": 0, "shape": [1650, 1275], "position_id": 28100000, "bbox": [[0.849, 0.8, 0.914, 0.809], [0.071, 0.82, 0.804, 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# 12月用电增速企稳回升，分布式光伏管理办法正式发布-电力行业12月月报
## 本期内容提要：
### 月度专题点评：2024用电情况分析及2025年用电情况展望。
### 月度板块及重点上市公司表现：
### 月度电力需求情况分析：12月电力消费增速环比企稳回升。
### 月度电力生产情况分析：整体需求不佳导致火电出力同比转负，光伏出力同比大幅提高。
### 月度电力市场数据分析：2月代理购电均价环比持续下行。
### 行业新闻：
#### (1）四川构建煤电政府授权合约机制，2025年合约价为0.4392元／千瓦时；
#### (2）广西2025年政府授权合约价：绿电0.375、常规0.36元／度、核电超7000小时0.3元／度；
#### (3）国家能源局印发《分布式光伏发电开发建设管理办法》。
### 投资观点：
### 风险因素：
## 月度专题：2024用电情况分析及2025年用电情况展望
### 1．大类划分：整体用电增速前高后低，基数与经济活动共同影响
### 2．细分板块：高技术制造与消费成主要拉动因素，高耗能用电增速波动影响较大
### 3．展望2025：高新技术产业扩能影响可期，高耗能产业复苏或成关键
## 月度板块及重点上市公司股价表现
## 月度电力需求情况分析
### 1．用电情况：12月电力消费增速环比企稳回升
### 2．分行业：二产用电增速环比企稳，居民用电增速环比上行
### 3．分板块：制造业高耗能用电增速企稳略升，消费用电增速环比下行
### 4．分地区：东部沿海省份用电量领先，西部省份用电增速领先
## 月度电力供应情况分析
### 1．发电情况：整体需求不佳导致火电出力同比转负，光伏出力同比大幅提高。
### 2．新增发电设备情况分析：火电装机投产步入高峰
### 3．月度发电设备利用情况分析：风光小时持续同比下行
## 电力市场月度数据
### 1．电网月度代理购电价格：2月代理购电均价环比持续下降
### 2．广东电力市场：2月月度交易价格略有回升，11月现货市场电价环比上行
### 3．山西电力市场：11月现货交易价格环比上行明显
### 4．山东电力市场：
## 1月行业重要新闻
### （1）四川构建煤电政府授权合约机制，2025年合约价为0.4392元／千瓦时
### （2）广西2025年政府授权合约价：绿电0.375、常规0.36元／度、核电超7000小时0.3元／度：
### （3）国家能源局印发《分布式光伏发电开发建设管理办法》：
## 投资策略及行业主要上市公司估值表
## 风险因素
