FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Paper โข 2508.11987 โข Published โข 73
Datasets:
id stringlengths 24 24 | prompt stringlengths 469 1.56k | end_time stringdate 2026-07-15 00:00:00 2026-07-21 00:00:00 | level int64 1 4 | en_title stringlengths 18 210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
6a3536a3ba3c180033fdec84 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many Instagram followers will New Zealand defender Ti Payne have by the end of the FIFA World Cup 2026? (resolved around 2026-07-20 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 4,000,000
B. the outcome be 4,000,000 - 4,999,999
C. the outcome be 5... | 2026-07-20 | 2 | How many Instagram followers will New Zealand defender Ti Payne have by the end of the FIFA World Cup 2026? |
6a3536a3ba3c180033fdec81 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will be the referee of the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? (resolved around 2026-07-20 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Other
B. the outcome be Szymon Marciniak
C. the outcome be Michael Oliver
D. the outcome be Anthony Taylor
E. the outcome b... | 2026-07-20 | 2 | Who will be the referee of the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? |
6a3536a3ba3c180033fdec82 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Third Place Country at the 2026 Fifa World Cup? (resolved around 2026-07-20 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Spain
B. the outcome be France
C. the outcome be England
D. the outcome be Germany
E. the outcome be Mexico
F. the outcome be Brazil... | 2026-07-20 | 2 | Third Place Country at the 2026 Fifa World Cup? |
6a33e516ba3c180033fdebd0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (resolved around 2026-07-20 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Spain
B. the outcome be France
C. the outcome be Brazil
D. the outcome be Argentina
E. the outcome be Portugal
F. the outcome be England
G. t... | 2026-07-20 | 2 | Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
6a41140c314ead00332a1900 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Winner of the Golden Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup (tournament's top scorer) (resolved around 2026-07-16 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Kylian Mbappรฉ
B. the outcome be Lionel Messi
C. the outcome be Harry Kane
D. the outcome be Ousmane Dem... | 2026-07-16 | 2 | Winner of the Golden Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup (tournament's top scorer) |
6a4e4311b3975d0034153f82 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Belgian Grand Prix: Driver's Winner (resolved around 2026-07-20 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Kimi Antonelli
B. the outcome be George Russel
C. the outcome be Lewis Hamilton
D. the outcome be Charles Leclerc
E. the outcome be Max Verstappe... | 2026-07-20 | 2 | Belgian Grand Prix: Driver's Winner |
6a3536a3ba3c180033fdec78 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will IShowSpeed do an IRL livestream from inside the stadium during the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? (resolved around 2026-07-20 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
... | 2026-07-20 | 1 | Will IShowSpeed do an IRL livestream from inside the stadium during the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? |
6978b007edd409005eef0fa9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad? (resolved around 2026-07-19 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any... | 2026-07-19 | 1 | Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad? |
6a3142089b0b8587160de435 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will June 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month? (resolved around 2026-07-17 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use an... | 2026-07-17 | 1 | Will June 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month? |
6a32938c742380002c511087 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 FIFA World Cup Mega-Market: Semi-Finals (resolved around 2026-07-16 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{TBD beats TBD July 14 (3pm) FOX} or \boxed{TBD beats TBD July 15 (3pm) ... | 2026-07-16 | 1 | 2026 FIFA World Cup Mega-Market: Semi-Finals |
6a2e9f0d9b0b8587160de35f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will June 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? (resolved around 2026-07-21 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other for... | 2026-07-21 | 1 | Will June 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? |
6a32938c742380002c511077 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will June 2026 U.S. export prices rise at least 0.5% month-over-month? (resolved around 2026-07-18 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other... | 2026-07-18 | 1 | Will June 2026 U.S. export prices rise at least 0.5% month-over-month? |
6964e98652029b005bc00997 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (resolved around 2026-07-17 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any o... | 2026-07-17 | 1 | Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? |
6a32938c742380002c51107b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will June 2026 U.S. industrial production rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? (resolved around 2026-07-18 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use a... | 2026-07-18 | 1 | Will June 2026 U.S. industrial production rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? |
6a33e516ba3c180033fdebcf | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won it before? (resolved around 2026-07-20 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do no... | 2026-07-20 | 1 | Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won it before? |
6a32938c742380002c511078 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will June 2026 U.S. import prices rise at least 0.5% month-over-month? (resolved around 2026-07-18 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other... | 2026-07-18 | 1 | Will June 2026 U.S. import prices rise at least 0.5% month-over-month? |
6a3142089b0b8587160de433 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will May 2026 U.S. business inventories rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? (resolved around 2026-07-17 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any... | 2026-07-17 | 1 | Will May 2026 U.S. business inventories rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? |
6a33e51bba3c180033fdebea | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who is Elliot Page playing in The Odyssey? (resolved around 2026-07-18 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Achilles
B. the outcome be Tiresias
C. the outcome be Someone Else"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
... | 2026-07-18 | 1 | Who is Elliot Page playing in The Odyssey? |
6a32938c742380002c511079 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will June 2026 U.S. building permits be at least 1.45 million (SAAR)? (resolved around 2026-07-18 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other ... | 2026-07-18 | 1 | Will June 2026 U.S. building permits be at least 1.45 million (SAAR)? |
6a32938c742380002c511076 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will June 2026 U.S. capacity utilization be at least 76.5%? (resolved around 2026-07-18 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do... | 2026-07-18 | 1 | Will June 2026 U.S. capacity utilization be at least 76.5%? |
6a32938c742380002c51107a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will June 2026 U.S. housing starts be at least 1.4 million (SAAR (resolved around 2026-07-18 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other forma... | 2026-07-18 | 1 | Will June 2026 U.S. housing starts be at least 1.4 million (SAAR |
6964e98652029b005bc00996 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (resolved around 2026-07-17 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other form... | 2026-07-17 | 1 | Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? |
6a32938c742380002c511075 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "pltr up in 1 month (resolved around 2026-07-17 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not ... | 2026-07-17 | 1 | pltr up in 1 month |
6a41140c314ead00332a1901 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Euro areaโs inflation rate > 3.2% in June? (resolved around 2026-07-17 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to ma... | 2026-07-17 | 1 | Euro areaโs inflation rate > 3.2% in June? |
6a4e4311b3975d0034153f81 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (resolved around 2026-07-19 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a predict... | 2026-07-19 | 1 | Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll |
6a4e4311b3975d0034153f7f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Duncan (resolved around 2026-07-19 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a p... | 2026-07-19 | 1 | Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Duncan |
6a4e4311b3975d0034153f7c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Levi Rodrigues vs. Felipe Franco (resolved around 2026-07-19 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a predi... | 2026-07-19 | 1 | Levi Rodrigues vs. Felipe Franco |
685141c3b3bf920060db7796 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, who will be the players ranked from 13 to 15 in the latest PIF ATP Singles Ranking? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any... | 2026-07-20 | 3 | who will be the players ranked from 13 to 15 in the latest PIF ATP Singles Ranking? (Give the names only) |
685141eca047fd005f77ef02 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, who will be the players ranked from 7 to 9 in the latest PIF WTA Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any ... | 2026-07-20 | 3 | who will be the players ranked from 7 to 9 in the latest PIF WTA Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only) |
685141d47b52bf0069cac9ee | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, who will be the players ranked from 6 to 8 in the latest PIF ATP Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any ... | 2026-07-20 | 3 | who will be the players ranked from 6 to 8 in the latest PIF ATP Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only) |
685146342537420060414055 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, what will be the movies ranked from 2 to 4 on the latest weekly word-of-mouth movie ranking (ไธๅจๅฃ็ข็ตๅฝฑๆฆ) published by Douban (่ฑ็ฃ)? (Give the movie titles only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
... | 2026-07-17 | 3 | what will be the movies ranked from 2 to 4 on the latest weekly word-of-mouth movie ranking (ไธๅจๅฃ็ข็ตๅฝฑๆฆ) published by Douban (่ฑ็ฃ)? (Give the movie titles only) |
68774ea340e719003bc08949 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, which variety shows will be ranked from 3 to 5 on the latest domestic word-of-mouth variety show ranking (ๅฝๅ
ๅฃ็ข็ปผ่บๆฆ) published by Douban (่ฑ็ฃ)? (Give the show names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact ... | 2026-07-20 | 3 | which variety shows will be ranked from 3 to 5 on the latest domestic word-of-mouth variety show ranking (ๅฝๅ
ๅฃ็ข็ปผ่บๆฆ) published by Douban (่ฑ็ฃ)? (Give the show names only) |
68774eaf0fc811003bd35b6d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, what variety shows will be ranked from 2 to 4 on the latest overseas word-of-mouth variety show ranking (ๅฝๅคๅฃ็ข็ปผ่บๆฆ) published by Douban (่ฑ็ฃ)? (Give the show names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact f... | 2026-07-20 | 3 | what variety shows will be ranked from 2 to 4 on the latest overseas word-of-mouth variety show ranking (ๅฝๅคๅฃ็ข็ปผ่บๆฆ) published by Douban (่ฑ็ฃ)? (Give the show names only) |
68517362eb11c800614780de | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, what will the price index for grains be in the Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index from China's National Agricultural Product Wholesale Market Price Information System (ๅ
จๅฝๅไบงๅๆนๅๅธๅบไปทๆ ผไฟกๆฏ็ณป็ป)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final an... | 2026-07-20 | 3 | what will the price index for grains be in the Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index from China's National Agricultural Product Wholesale Market Price Information System (ๅ
จๅฝๅไบงๅๆนๅๅธๅบไปทๆ ผไฟกๆฏ็ณป็ป)? |
685173c159f71f006037a1e9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, what will be the value in Chinese Yuan of 100 units of Japanese Yen at the central parity rate?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other for... | 2026-07-20 | 3 | what will be the value in Chinese Yuan of 100 units of Japanese Yen at the central parity rate? |
687071f2d3d00b006b624a8c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, which self-media accounts will be ranked from 4 to 6 on KolRank's daily WeChat self-media overall ranking?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use an... | 2026-07-17 | 3 | which self-media accounts will be ranked from 4 to 6 on KolRank's daily WeChat self-media overall ranking? |
687071faab86ea0060215bc7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-18, which self-media accounts will be ranked from 7 to 9 on KolRank's daily Weibo self-media overall ranking?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any... | 2026-07-18 | 3 | which self-media accounts will be ranked from 7 to 9 on KolRank's daily Weibo self-media overall ranking? |
685e4893e582f0005f9cd2c8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-21, what will be the movies ranked from 4 to 6 on Maoyan's 'Want to Watch' list (็ซ็ผ็ตๅฝฑๆณ็ๆฆ)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do n... | 2026-07-21 | 3 | what will be the movies ranked from 4 to 6 on Maoyan's 'Want to Watch' list (็ซ็ผ็ตๅฝฑๆณ็ๆฆ)? |
685e489b6e8dbd006cdc6f70 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-21, what will be the movies ranked from 7 to 9 on Maoyan's 'Ticket Purchase vs Rating' list (็ซ็ผ็ตๅฝฑ่ดญ็ฅจ่ฏๅๆฆ)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any othe... | 2026-07-21 | 3 | what will be the movies ranked from 7 to 9 on Maoyan's 'Ticket Purchase vs Rating' list (็ซ็ผ็ตๅฝฑ่ดญ็ฅจ่ฏๅๆฆ)? |
685e48b9e582f0005f9cd2c9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, what will be the vehicles ranked from 4 to 6 on the hot list across China for SUVs (SUVๅ
จๅฝ็ญ้จๆฆ) of this date published by Dongchedi (DCar, ๆ่ฝฆๅธ)? (Give the vehicle names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this e... | 2026-07-17 | 3 | what will be the vehicles ranked from 4 to 6 on the hot list across China for SUVs (SUVๅ
จๅฝ็ญ้จๆฆ) of this date published by Dongchedi (DCar, ๆ่ฝฆๅธ)? (Give the vehicle names only) |
685e48ac6e8dbd006cdc6f71 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, what will be the vehicles ranked from 2 to 4 on the hot list across China for sedans (่ฝฟ่ฝฆๅ
จๅฝ็ญ้จๆฆ) of this date published by Dongchedi (DCar, ๆ่ฝฆๅธ)? (Give the vehicle names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this ... | 2026-07-20 | 3 | what will be the vehicles ranked from 2 to 4 on the hot list across China for sedans (่ฝฟ่ฝฆๅ
จๅฝ็ญ้จๆฆ) of this date published by Dongchedi (DCar, ๆ่ฝฆๅธ)? (Give the vehicle names only) |
687070c4a89aef006c2c3d56 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, what will be the vehicles ranked from 3 to 5 on the hot list across China for light buses (่ฝปๅฎขๅ
จๅฝ็ญ้จๆฆ) of this date published by Dongchedi (DCar, ๆ่ฝฆๅธ)? (Give the vehicle names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with ... | 2026-07-20 | 3 | what will be the vehicles ranked from 3 to 5 on the hot list across China for light buses (่ฝปๅฎขๅ
จๅฝ็ญ้จๆฆ) of this date published by Dongchedi (DCar, ๆ่ฝฆๅธ)? (Give the vehicle names only) |
685171e0560ebb0061efb2c3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-16, what will be the total market capitalization (ๆปๅธๅผ) of Shenwan Hongyuan (000166) on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in hundreds of millions of yuan (two decimal places)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact for... | 2026-07-16 | 4 | what will be the total market capitalization (ๆปๅธๅผ) of Shenwan Hongyuan (000166) on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in hundreds of millions of yuan (two decimal places)? |
6851413f7b52bf0069cac9eb | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-16, which movie will be the latest #1 Release in Box Office Mojo's Domestic Box Office Weekly?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. ... | 2026-07-16 | 4 | which movie will be the latest #1 Release in Box Office Mojo's Domestic Box Office Weekly? |
6867949457e54a0061f98f8c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, what will be the Grain Index (็ฒฎ้ฃ่ดง็งๆๆฐ) of the China Coastal Bulk Freight Index (ไธญๅฝๆฒฟๆตทๆฃ่ดง่ฟไปทๆๆฐ) published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PRED... | 2026-07-17 | 4 | what will be the Grain Index (็ฒฎ้ฃ่ดง็งๆๆฐ) of the China Coastal Bulk Freight Index (ไธญๅฝๆฒฟๆตทๆฃ่ดง่ฟไปทๆๆฐ) published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange? |
68514628aca664006bceb217 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, according to the latest China Influenza Weekly Report (ไธญๅฝๆตๆ็ๆตๅจๆฅ) from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, how many outbreaks of influenza-like illness (ๆตๆๆ ท็
ไพๆดๅ็ซๆ
) will be reported nationwide?"
IMPORTANT: ... | 2026-07-17 | 4 | according to the latest China Influenza Weekly Report (ไธญๅฝๆตๆ็ๆตๅจๆฅ) from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, how many outbreaks of influenza-like illness (ๆตๆๆ ท็
ไพๆดๅ็ซๆ
) will be reported nationwide? |
6851740359f71f006037a1ed | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-16, what will be the day's close for India Market Fund LOF (SZ:164824) (in CNY)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse ... | 2026-07-16 | 4 | what will be the day's close for India Market Fund LOF (SZ:164824) (in CNY)? |
6854dcb27df94a0060eb86cf | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, what will be the projects ranked from 6 to 8 on OpenGithubs' github-daily-rank of this date? (Give the project names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
... | 2026-07-17 | 4 | what will be the projects ranked from 6 to 8 on OpenGithubs' github-daily-rank of this date? (Give the project names only) |
6854dcbc7df94a0060eb86d0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-19, what will be the "most recent" number for "Waiting for response" of this date in the Support Stats published by Steam?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
D... | 2026-07-19 | 4 | what will be the "most recent" number for "Waiting for response" of this date in the Support Stats published by Steam? |
6854e0397ff26400687d2031 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, what will be the projects ranked from 4 to 6 on the latest OpenGithubs' github-weekly-rank? (Give the project names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
... | 2026-07-20 | 4 | what will be the projects ranked from 4 to 6 on the latest OpenGithubs' github-weekly-rank? (Give the project names only) |
68774e5b17ef980047f8ce68 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, who will be the authors ranked from 5 to 7 on the latest Original Author Popularity Ranking (ๅๅไฝ่
็ญๅบฆๆ่กๆฆ) published by Tencent Cloud Developer Community (่
พ่ฎฏไบๅผๅ่
็คพๅบ)? (Give the author names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer M... | 2026-07-17 | 4 | who will be the authors ranked from 5 to 7 on the latest Original Author Popularity Ranking (ๅๅไฝ่
็ญๅบฆๆ่กๆฆ) published by Tencent Cloud Developer Community (่
พ่ฎฏไบๅผๅ่
็คพๅบ)? (Give the author names only) |
68774e69336fa8003b890146 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, which works will be ranked from 11 to 13 on the latest weekly tipping chart for audio dramas (ๅนฟๆญๅงๆ่ตๆฆๅจๆฆ) on Maoer (็ซ่ณ) FM (MissEvan)? (Give the work names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
... | 2026-07-20 | 4 | which works will be ranked from 11 to 13 on the latest weekly tipping chart for audio dramas (ๅนฟๆญๅงๆ่ตๆฆๅจๆฆ) on Maoer (็ซ่ณ) FM (MissEvan)? (Give the work names only) |
687df3a41d972f003b8ba68c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-21, what will the open of CanSino (SH:688185) be for the day (in CNY)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a ... | 2026-07-21 | 4 | what will the open of CanSino (SH:688185) be for the day (in CNY)? |
68514682640f4c00608c5aea | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-19, who will be the uploaders ranked from 4 to 6 on the Weekly Chart of NewRank's Bilibili AI Accounts Influence (ๆฐๆฆยทๅๅฉๅๅฉAI่ดฆๅทๅฝฑๅๅยทๅจๆฆ) of the calendar week ending on this date? (Give the uploaders' names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your fi... | 2026-07-19 | 4 | who will be the uploaders ranked from 4 to 6 on the Weekly Chart of NewRank's Bilibili AI Accounts Influence (ๆฐๆฆยทๅๅฉๅๅฉAI่ดฆๅทๅฝฑๅๅยทๅจๆฆ) of the calendar week ending on this date? (Give the uploaders' names only) |
685171b65b1af900600a3306 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, what will be the stock market capitalization (ๅธไปทๆปๅผ) of Bank of China (601988) on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in ten thousand yuan (two decimal places)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
... | 2026-07-17 | 4 | what will be the stock market capitalization (ๅธไปทๆปๅผ) of Bank of China (601988) on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in ten thousand yuan (two decimal places)? |
685173fb59f71f006037a1ec | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, what songs will be ranked from 13 to 15 on the latest QQ Music Soaring Chart (QQ้ณไน้ฃๅๆฆ)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do ... | 2026-07-17 | 4 | what songs will be ranked from 13 to 15 on the latest QQ Music Soaring Chart (QQ้ณไน้ฃๅๆฆ)? |
6851743b59f71f006037a1f1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-21, what will be the average price (in yuan per kilogram) of beef at the national agricultural product wholesale market monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of China?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end... | 2026-07-21 | 4 | what will be the average price (in yuan per kilogram) of beef at the national agricultural product wholesale market monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of China? |
6851738859f71f006037a1e5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-21, what will be the low for the CSI 300 Index for the day?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction.... | 2026-07-21 | 4 | what will be the low for the CSI 300 Index for the day? |
6870731ba3a7fb0061457aab | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, what will be the technologies ranked from 16 to 18 on the latest Smart Technologies Ranking (ๆบ่ฝ็งๆๆฆ) published by Autohome (ๆฑฝ่ฝฆไนๅฎถ)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION... | 2026-07-20 | 4 | what will be the technologies ranked from 16 to 18 on the latest Smart Technologies Ranking (ๆบ่ฝ็งๆๆฆ) published by Autohome (ๆฑฝ่ฝฆไนๅฎถ)? |
6854dffd0635c0005f0a1d2f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-16, what will be the songs from rank 7 to 9 on the latest NetEase Cloud Music Europe and America Hot Songs Chart (็ฝๆไบ้ณไนๆฌง็พ็ญๆญๆฆ)? (Give the song titles only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\... | 2026-07-16 | 4 | what will be the songs from rank 7 to 9 on the latest NetEase Cloud Music Europe and America Hot Songs Chart (็ฝๆไบ้ณไนๆฌง็พ็ญๆญๆฆ)? (Give the song titles only) |
68774ddd3083b1003c629ca8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-20, what will the value (in hundreds of millions of yuan, two decimal places) of Daily Buy Trades (ๅฝๆฅไนฐๅ
ฅๆไบค้้ข) of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect's Southbound Trading (ๆธฏ่ก้) be?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this ex... | 2026-07-20 | 4 | what will the value (in hundreds of millions of yuan, two decimal places) of Daily Buy Trades (ๅฝๆฅไนฐๅ
ฅๆไบค้้ข) of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect's Southbound Trading (ๆธฏ่ก้) be? |
6944fde51834a500697575da | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-18, which movies will be ranked from 1 to 3 in the TOP 10 on Apple TV Store in the World chart issued by FlixPatrol? (give the movies only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PRED... | 2026-07-18 | 4 | which movies will be ranked from 1 to 3 in the TOP 10 on Apple TV Store in the World chart issued by FlixPatrol? (give the movies only) |
6945055fb5edfd005d923316 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-19, and the week ending on this date, which programs will be ranked from 2 to 4 among U.S. audiences in the TOTAL view of Linear TV Top 10 rankings issued by Nielsen? (Give the program names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer ... | 2026-07-19 | 4 | and the week ending on this date, which programs will be ranked from 2 to 4 among U.S. audiences in the TOTAL view of Linear TV Top 10 rankings issued by Nielsen? (Give the program names only) |
6945061ed2f0e700661f17a1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-21, what songs will be ranked from 2 to 4 in the latest UK's Official Singles Chart Top 100? (Give the songs only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not us... | 2026-07-21 | 4 | what songs will be ranked from 2 to 4 in the latest UK's Official Singles Chart Top 100? (Give the songs only) |
796f4e40cbb8a612594c74d2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Kylian Mbappรฉ score in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final between France and Spain? (resolved around 2026-07-15 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:... | 2026-07-15 | 1 | Will Kylian Mbappรฉ score in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final between France and Spain? |
a251ec97607ca8376a37b5b3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Lionel Messi score in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final between England and Argentina? (resolved around 2026-07-16 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact for... | 2026-07-16 | 1 | Will Lionel Messi score in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final between England and Argentina? |
0e2e753afb923714729eda08 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which team will advance from the 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final between France and Spain? (resolved around 2026-07-15 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be France
B. the outcome be Spain"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact ... | 2026-07-15 | 2 | Which team will advance from the 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final between France and Spain? |
5b9b070b24c502fc2ee66f6c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which team will advance from the 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final between England and Argentina? (resolved around 2026-07-16 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be England
B. the outcome be Argentina"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with t... | 2026-07-16 | 2 | Which team will advance from the 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final between England and Argentina? |
7931fce7755119ba553ec4b8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many total goals will be scored in the two 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-finals, excluding penalty shootouts? (resolved around 2026-07-16 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0โ3
B. the outcome be 4
C. the outcome be 5
D. the outcome be 6 or more"
... | 2026-07-16 | 3 | How many total goals will be scored in the two 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-finals, excluding penalty shootouts? |
6cdb6eb1735f0973db01c3b3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the winning score relative to par be at the 2026 Open Championship? (resolved around 2026-07-20 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Even par or worse
B. the outcome be 1โ5 under par
C. the outcome be 6โ10 under par
D. the outcome be 11 ... | 2026-07-20 | 3 | What will the winning score relative to par be at the 2026 Open Championship? |
7b37e2c35e6e9f584c05df76 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many total goals will be scored across both semi-finals, the third-place match, and the final of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, excluding penalty shootouts? (resolved around 2026-07-20 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0โ8
B. the outcome be 9โ11
C.... | 2026-07-20 | 4 | How many total goals will be scored across both semi-finals, the third-place match, and the final of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, excluding penalty shootouts? |
1a19aacac5e730f9d6adcf35 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-19, Which three drivers will finish on the podium, in order, at the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix? Answer with First, second, and third-place driver names."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed... | 2026-07-19 | 4 | Which three drivers will finish on the podium, in order, at the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix? |
62bcf1f1483ca3820108bd8b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will T1 advance from Group C to the playoffs at the 2026 Esports World Cup League of Legends tournament? (resolved around 2026-07-17 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with th... | 2026-07-17 | 1 | Will T1 advance from Group C to the playoffs at the 2026 Esports World Cup League of Legends tournament? |
f0bae13b11ecd2f563dcdf86 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which team will win the 2026 Esports World Cup League of Legends tournament? (resolved around 2026-07-20 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Hanwha Life Esports
B. the outcome be Bilibili Gaming
C. the outcome be Gen.G
D. the outcome be T1
E. th... | 2026-07-20 | 2 | Which team will win the 2026 Esports World Cup League of Legends tournament? |
b84a47c0dc685045f3de2d41 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many LCK teams will advance to the playoffs at the 2026 Esports World Cup League of Legends tournament? (resolved around 2026-07-17 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0 or 1
B. the outcome be 2
C. the outcome be 3
D. the outcome be 4"
... | 2026-07-17 | 3 | How many LCK teams will advance to the playoffs at the 2026 Esports World Cup League of Legends tournament? |
1693a9174bf4114aa8694819 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, Which eight teams will qualify for the playoffs at the 2026 Esports World Cup League of Legends tournament? Answer with Eight team names."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PR... | 2026-07-17 | 4 | Which eight teams will qualify for the playoffs at the 2026 Esports World Cup League of Legends tournament? |
39fe43e5242c34590308b4cb | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Netflix report a Q2 2026 operating margin of at least 30.0%? (resolved around 2026-07-17 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is ... | 2026-07-17 | 1 | Will Netflix report a Q2 2026 operating margin of at least 30.0%? |
d9dfc89c7c05d988de310aa8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What gross margin will TSMC report for Q2 2026? (resolved around 2026-07-16 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 58.0%
B. the outcome be 58.0%โ59.9%
C. the outcome be 60.0%โ61.9%
D. the outcome be 62.0% or higher"
IMPORTANT: Your fin... | 2026-07-16 | 2 | What gross margin will TSMC report for Q2 2026? |
85cfb28c157493b8d3de93c6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-17, What revenue, operating margin, and diluted EPS will Netflix report for Q2 2026? Answer with Revenue in USD, operating margin percentage, and diluted EPS exactly as reported."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this... | 2026-07-17 | 4 | What revenue, operating margin, and diluted EPS will Netflix report for Q2 2026? |
829b6dcf732c4a054176eced | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the 2026 UN High-Level Political Forum adopt its Ministerial Declaration by consensus? (resolved around 2026-07-16 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact form... | 2026-07-16 | 1 | Will the 2026 UN High-Level Political Forum adopt its Ministerial Declaration by consensus? |
c4788bf78d04c244f2013a8d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many UN Security Council press statements or presidential statements will be issued from 15 through 20 July 2026? (resolved around 2026-07-21 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0
B. the outcome be 1
C. the outcome be 2
D. the outcome be 3 or... | 2026-07-21 | 2 | How many UN Security Council press statements or presidential statements will be issued from 15 through 20 July 2026? |
752d168b382afa0b67f52541 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many formal UN Security Council meetings will be held from 15 through 20 July 2026 inclusive? (resolved around 2026-07-21 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0โ3
B. the outcome be 4
C. the outcome be 5
D. the outcome be 6 or more"
IMP... | 2026-07-21 | 3 | How many formal UN Security Council meetings will be held from 15 through 20 July 2026 inclusive? |
e7e170cee999bd83ca28c004 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will at least one named tropical storm form in the North Atlantic basin from 15 through 21 July 2026? (resolved around 2026-07-21 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this ... | 2026-07-21 | 1 | Will at least one named tropical storm form in the North Atlantic basin from 15 through 21 July 2026? |
987b164fab6ec59f347458a7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many named tropical storms will form across the North Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins from 15 through 21 July 2026? (resolved around 2026-07-21 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0
B. the outcome be 1
C. the outcome be 2
D. the outcome b... | 2026-07-21 | 3 | How many named tropical storms will form across the North Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins from 15 through 21 July 2026? |
13abdbfa66c665ae7e76e904 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-21, What will be the highest daily maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix Sky Harbor from 15 through 21 July 2026, and on which date will it occur? Answer with Temperature in ยฐF and local calendar date; list all tied dates."
I... | 2026-07-21 | 4 | What will be the highest daily maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix Sky Harbor from 15 through 21 July 2026, and on which date will it occur? |
10287a2ab60d04fc54e554a0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What national COVID-19 wastewater viral activity level will the CDC publish in its update during the week ending 18 July 2026? (resolved around 2026-07-18 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Very Low
B. the outcome be Low
C. the outcome be Moderat... | 2026-07-18 | 2 | What national COVID-19 wastewater viral activity level will the CDC publish in its update during the week ending 18 July 2026? |
048fb3ef502c58e607e36267 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many U.S. states and territories will the CDC classify as having growing or likely growing COVID-19 infections in its update during the week ending 18 July 2026? (resolved around 2026-07-18 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0โ5
B. the outcome... | 2026-07-18 | 3 | How many U.S. states and territories will the CDC classify as having growing or likely growing COVID-19 infections in its update during the week ending 18 July 2026? |
5436a62c8176da30afba2c6b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-07-18, What weekly U.S. hospital admission totals will the CDC report for COVID-19, influenza, and RSV in its update during the week ending 18 July 2026? Answer with COVID-19 admissions; influenza admissions; RSV admissions, using the sam... | 2026-07-18 | 4 | What weekly U.S. hospital admission totals will the CDC report for COVID-19, influenza, and RSV in its update during the week ending 18 July 2026? |
Submission Guidelines โ Weekly Prediction Challenge
๐ Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987 ๐ LeaderBoard: https://futurex-ai.github.io/
We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repo always contains latest events.
1. Weekly Rules
- A new set of tasks is released every week.
- This week's tasks cover events with an end time between
2026-07-15, 24:00 (UTC+8)and2026-07-21, 24:00 (UTC+8). - You must download the tasks, make predictions, and email us your results before Wednesday 24:00 (UTC+8) each week.
- Late submissions will not be counted.
- The leaderboard for this round will be updated by
2026-07-23 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time).
โ ๏ธ Next submission deadline: 2026-07-15, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)
2. How to Participate?
Download the latest tasks from our dataset: https://huggingface.co/datasets/futurex-ai/Futurex-Online
Run your model on the tasks.
Email your predictions to FutureX-ai@outlook.com before the deadline.
Email subject format:
FutureX Challenge Submission โ [Your Model Name][Date]
Submission requirements:
- File format: JSON (or JSONL)
- Include dataset commit/hash you used
- Required fields:
id,prediction
Note: Predictions can be in various formats including single letters (A, B, C), letter combinations (A, C, D), text in any language, numbers, or empty strings. The prediction should exactly match the format expected by the specific event question.
3. Leaderboard and Privacy
- Weekly results will be ranked and shown on a dynamic leaderboard by default.
- You can choose to keep it private or make it public.
- Downloads last month
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